Tropical Storm KIRK Advisory Thu Sep 27

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TROPICAL STORM KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122018
0300 UTC THU SEP 27 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. LUCIA
* DOMINICA
* MARTINIQUE
* GUADELOUPE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KIRK AS ADDITIONAL WARNINGS OR
WATCHES COULD BE ISSUED TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  57.0W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 110SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  57.0W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  56.2W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 13.6N  58.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.4N  60.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.1N  63.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.6N  65.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 16.0N  69.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  57.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG