MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 014// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03W (THREE) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z --- NEAR 6.6N 128.5E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 6.6N 128.5E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z --- 6.5N 126.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z --- 6.6N 123.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z POSITION NEAR 6.6N 127.9E. TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 03W (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST OF DAVAO, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH A SMALL AREA OF FRAGMENTED CONVECTION SHEARED NORTHWESTWARD OF A RAGGED, EXPOSED, AND ILL-DEFINED CIRCULATION. A 180121Z DIRECT ASCAT PASS INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS UNRAVELED AND OPENED INTO A WAVE/INVERTED TROUGH. THE SAME ASCAT IMAGERY AND AGENCY DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND RJTD INDICATE THE TD HAS WEAKENED TO BELOW JTWC WARNING CRITERIA AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO RECOVER AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA UNDER INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, BY TAU 12, THE SYSTEM WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLAND OF MINDANAO NEAR DAVAO LEADING TO ITS FURTHER EROSION. HOWEVER, THE SHEARED CONVECTION WILL STILL BRING NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS AND LARGE AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION THAT CAN TRIGGER GUSTY WIND CONDITIONS AND FLASH FLOODING OVER SOUTHERN MINDANAO. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 10 FEET.// NNNN NNNN