Tropical Storm TORAJI Advisory Sun Nov 18

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (TORAJI) WARNING NR 004
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   180600Z --- NEAR 11.7N 109.2E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N 109.2E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   181800Z --- 11.8N 107.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   190600Z --- 11.4N 105.6E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
180900Z POSITION NEAR 11.7N 108.7E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 32W (TORAJI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 157 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH CITY, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TD 32W MADE
LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF VIETNAM AT APPROXIMATELY
18/00Z, ABOUT 15NM SOUTH OF CAM RANH BAY (VVCR), WHICH IS REPORTING
SUSTAINED EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS OF 6-14 KNOTS WITH MINIMUM SLP NEAR
1010MB. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED,
DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) POSITIONED ON THE
EASTERN EDGE OF AN AREA OF FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 180240Z METOP-
B 89GHZ MHS IMAGE SHOWS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH SHALLOW BANDING AND
DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER LAND. BASED ON THE WEAK OVERALL
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE AND AVAILABLE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS, THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 25 KNOTS. TD 32W IS FORECAST TO TRACK
WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE POSITIONED TO
THE NORTH. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT AND
SUPPORTS THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WITH LOW OVERALL CONFIDENCE. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN AND WILL DISSIPATE BY TAU 12.
ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK OVER THE GULF OF THAILAND
AFTER TAU 36, REGENERATION THROUGH TAU 72 IS ASSESSED AS UNLIKELY.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z
IS 13 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W (THIRTYTHREE) WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
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