Tropical Storm GORDON Advisory Tue Sep 04

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM GORDON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072018
0300 UTC TUE SEP 04 2018

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

APALACHICOLA   34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 290N 850W 34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34  1  12(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

WHITING FLD FL 34  X   6( 6)   6(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

PENSACOLA FL   34  X  17(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

GFMX 290N 870W 34 38  60(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
GFMX 290N 870W 50  6  57(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
GFMX 290N 870W 64  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

MOBILE AL      34  X  58(58)  15(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
MOBILE AL      50  X  13(13)   9(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
MOBILE AL      64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GULFPORT MS    34  X  69(69)  18(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
GULFPORT MS    50  X  21(21)  25(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
GULFPORT MS    64  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

STENNIS MS     34  X  41(41)  33(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
STENNIS MS     50  X   7( 7)  29(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
STENNIS MS     64  X   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BURAS LA       34  X  16(16)  10(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
BURAS LA       50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

JACKSON MS     34  X   1( 1)  40(41)   5(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
JACKSON MS     50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
JACKSON MS     64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   6( 6)  22(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

FORT POLK LA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN
  

Storm tracks Tue Sep 04

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