Tropical Storm IRMA Advisory Mon Sep 11

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE IRMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112017
0300 UTC MON SEP 11 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS
...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CHARLOTTE NC   34  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

FLORENCE SC    34  X  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

COLUMBIA SC    34  4  16(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  6  13(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

CHARLESTON SC  34 30   7(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34 45   8(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)

ATLANTA GA     34  5  23(28)  10(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)

AUGUSTA GA     34 17  22(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)

SAVANNAH GA    34 58   8(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)

KINGS BAY GA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
KINGS BAY GA   50  7   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

WAYCROSS GA    34 81  13(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
WAYCROSS GA    50  4  14(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

MAYPORT NS FL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MAYPORT NS FL  50 11   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

JACKSONVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
JACKSONVILLE   50 20   4(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

GAINESVILLE FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
GAINESVILLE FL 64 29   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

DAYTONA BEACH  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH  50 62   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)

THE VILLAGES   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
THE VILLAGES   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
THE VILLAGES   64 67   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)   X(67)

ORLANDO FL     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ORLANDO FL     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ORLANDO FL     64 13   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

COCOA BEACH FL 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

PATRICK AFB    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PATRICK AFB    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

FT PIERCE FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FT PIERCE FL   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

W PALM BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
W PALM BEACH   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

FT LAUDERDALE  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MIAMI FL       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MIAMI FL       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HOMESTEAD ARB  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MARATHON FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

KEY WEST FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

NAPLES FL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
NAPLES FL      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

FT MYERS FL    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FT MYERS FL    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FT MYERS FL    64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

VENICE FL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
VENICE FL      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
VENICE FL      64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

TAMPA FL       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TAMPA FL       50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
TAMPA FL       64 66   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)

CEDAR KEY FL   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CEDAR KEY FL   50 95   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
CEDAR KEY FL   64 16   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34 55  21(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50  2  26(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)

ST MARKS FL    34 64  11(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
ST MARKS FL    50  5  23(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)

APALACHICOLA   34 31   3(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)

GFMX 290N 850W 34 27   2(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)

PANAMA CITY FL 34 16   5(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

COLUMBUS GA    34  9  51(60)   9(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
COLUMBUS GA    50  X  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
COLUMBUS GA    64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   9( 9)  13(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

MONTGOMERY AL  34  6  11(17)   5(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

WHITING FLD FL 34  6   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

PENSACOLA FL   34  5   4( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

GFMX 290N 870W 34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MOBILE AL      34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GRAND BAHAMA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HAVANA         34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG
  

Storm tracks Mon Sep 11

World
Atlantic Ocean
Pacific (East)
  • Pacific (East)
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Pacific (West)
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