Comments Membership info Register new Login
Tropical Storm JOSE Advisory Thu Sep 21

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  63
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0300 UTC THU SEP 21 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

YARMOUTH NS    34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

AUGUSTA ME     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

PORTLAND ME    34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CONCORD NH     34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

WORCESTER MA   34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

BOSTON MA      34  2   5( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)

HYANNIS MA     34  7   6(13)   5(18)   2(20)   3(23)   1(24)   X(24)

NANTUCKET MA   34 12   8(20)   6(26)   3(29)   3(32)   2(34)   X(34)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  2   6( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   3(16)   1(17)   X(17)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)

HARTFORD CT    34  1   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   X(11)

NEW LONDON CT  34  2   5( 7)   2( 9)   2(11)   2(13)   2(15)   X(15)

ALBANY NY      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

MONTAUK POINT  34  3   5( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   4(17)   2(19)   X(19)

ISLIP NY       34  1   4( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   X(12)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN