Tropical Storm MARIA Advisory Wed Sep 27

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0300 UTC WED SEP 27 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ISLIP NY       34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

TRENTON NJ     34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  2   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PHILADELPHIA   34  2   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  5   4( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

BALTIMORE MD   34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DOVER DE       34  5   3( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  4   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

WASHINGTON DC  34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  6   5(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

OCEAN CITY MD  34 10   5(15)   3(18)   X(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  5   4( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

WALLOPS CDA    34 10   6(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

RICHMOND VA    34  5   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

NORFOLK NAS    34 10   5(15)   2(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

NORFOLK VA     34 11   5(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

OCEANA NAS VA  34 13   6(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

ELIZABETH CTY  34 15   6(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)

RALEIGH NC     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ROCKY MT NC    34  5   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

CAPE HATTERAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CHERRY PT NC   34  9   3(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

NEW RIVER NC   34 12   4(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

MOREHEAD CITY  34 10   3(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

SURF CITY NC   34  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

WILMINGTON NC  34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH