Tropical Storm MARIA Advisory Thu Sep 28

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0300 UTC THU SEP 28 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
36.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HYANNIS MA     34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NANTUCKET MA   34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW LONDON CT  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MONTAUK POINT  34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ISLIP NY       34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEWARK NJ      34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

TRENTON NJ     34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

PHILADELPHIA   34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

DOVER DE       34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

WALLOPS CDA    34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

RICHMOND VA    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NORFOLK NAS    34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NORFOLK VA     34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CHERRY PT NC   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NEW RIVER NC   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   6( 6)   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH