Tropical Storm KENNETH Advisory Sat Aug 19

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132017
0300 UTC SAT AUG 19 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 120W       34 77   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
15N 120W       50  6   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

15N 125W       34  X  27(27)  17(44)   2(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
15N 125W       50  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

20N 125W       34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   5(18)   X(18)   X(18)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)  41(61)   2(63)   X(63)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)   2(24)   X(24)
20N 130W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

25N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   5(14)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  16(28)   1(29)
20N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
20N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

25N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  14(23)
25N 135W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
FORECASTER ROBERTS