Tropical Storm BONNIE Advisory Tue Jun 28

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022
0300 UTC TUE JUN 28 2022

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 8.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)

BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  15(22)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  24(25)   6(31)
SAN ANDRES     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

LIMON          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)
LIMON          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

COLON          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)

PT GALLINAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  25(26)   X(26)   X(26)
PT GALLINAS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CURACAO        34  X   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  16(29)   X(29)   X(29)
CURACAO        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GRENADA        34  X   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X  11(11)  20(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

PORT OF SPAIN  34  X   1( 1)  24(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

JUANGRIEGO     34  X   X( X)  23(23)   6(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
JUANGRIEGO     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG