Tropical Storm CHRIS Advisory Thu Jul 12

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032018
0300 UTC THU JUL 12 2018

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
39.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X  12(12)  54(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X  84(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X  21(21)   2(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  2  31(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

BURGEO NFLD    34  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PTX BASQUES    34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SYDNEY NS      34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SABLE ISLAND   34 35   9(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG