Tropical Storm MATTHEW Advisory Wed Sep 28
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
1500 UTC WED SEP 28 2016
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
MARATHON FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 16(39) 6(45) 1(46)
PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 3(19) X(19)
PT GALLINAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
CURACAO 34 X 1( 1) 13(14) 7(21) 3(24) 1(25) X(25)
CURACAO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
CURACAO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HAVANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
CIENFUEGOS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
CIENFUEGOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17)
CAMAGUEY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
CAMAGUEY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 20(32)
MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 20(37)
KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14)
KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 7(14) 10(24)
LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 4(10) 6(16)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 5(14) 2(16) 3(19)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 3( 5)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 2(10)
PONCE PR 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
AGUADILLA PR 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
SAN JUAN PR 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
VIEQUES PR 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT CROIX 34 1 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BARBUDA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GUADELOUPE 34 8 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
AVES 34 9 14(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
DOMINICA 34 32 1(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MARTINIQUE 34 69 X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69)
MARTINIQUE 50 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
SAINT LUCIA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SAINT LUCIA 50 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
SAINT VINCENT 34 91 X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
SAINT VINCENT 50 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BARBADOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BARBADOS 50 43 X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
GRENADA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
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FORECASTER BROWN
Hurricane Archive
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Archive 2016
