Tropical Storm OTTO Advisory Mon Nov 21

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
1500 UTC MON NOV 21 2016

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   7(12)   5(17)   1(18)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)  18(25)  10(35)   1(36)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)  13(22)  15(37)   4(41)   X(41)
SAN ANDRES     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   X(11)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

LIMON          34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   8(10)  16(26)   8(34)   X(34)
LIMON          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)
LIMON          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

COLON          34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   6(12)   7(19)   1(20)   X(20)
COLON          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH