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Tropical Storm NATE Advisory Sun Oct 08

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE NATE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162017
0300 UTC SUN OCT 08 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS
...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ALBANY NY      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ISLIP NY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
ISLIP NY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DOVER DE       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ATLANTA GA     34  1   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

COLUMBUS GA    34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BIRMINGHAM AL  34  7  74(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
BIRMINGHAM AL  50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONTGOMERY AL  34 21  23(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)

WHITING FLD FL 34 51   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)

PENSACOLA FL   34 70   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)

MOBILE AL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOBILE AL      50 93   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
MOBILE AL      64  8   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

GULFPORT MS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GULFPORT MS    50 15   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

STENNIS MS     34 90   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)

BURAS LA       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG