Tropical Storm PHILIPPE Advisory Fri Oct 27

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182017
2100 UTC FRI OCT 27 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)  11(11)   5(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34  X   X( X)  16(16)   4(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
HOMESTEAD ARB  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MARATHON FL    34  X   1( 1)  19(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
MARATHON FL    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

KEY WEST FL    34  X   1( 1)  10(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  19(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)  12(12)  27(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)  14(14)  12(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

HAVANA         34  X   9( 9)  13(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

ISLE OF PINES  34  X  33(33)   4(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)
ISLE OF PINES  50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CIENFUEGOS     34  X   6( 6)  24(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)

CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
FORECASTER BRENNAN