Comments Membership info Register new Login
Tropical Storm TEDDY Advisory Mon Sep 21

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  35
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2020

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   4(26)   X(26)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  36(36)   5(41)   X(41)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  51(51)   4(55)   X(55)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   3(19)   X(19)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  58(62)   1(63)   X(63)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  25(26)   X(26)   X(26)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  58(61)   2(63)   X(63)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   1(24)   X(24)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  22(23)  36(59)   X(59)   X(59)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  32(33)  43(76)   1(77)   X(77)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  39(44)   X(44)   X(44)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)   X(19)   X(19)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  31(33)  17(50)   X(50)   X(50)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   X(15)   X(15)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  28(32)   X(32)   X(32)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
MONCTON NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  19(25)   X(25)   X(25)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
ST JOHN NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  12(25)   X(25)   X(25)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BERMUDA        34 78  15(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
BERMUDA        50 16  31(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)   X(47)
BERMUDA        64  1   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
FORECASTER ROBERTS