Tropical Storm ETA Advisory Tue Nov 03

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0900 UTC TUE NOV 03 2020

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 130
KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   5(16)   1(17)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   8(14)   3(17)   X(17)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

GUANAJA        34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   5( 9)   3(12)   4(16)   2(18)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 92   1(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 69   4(73)   X(73)   1(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)

BLUEFIELDS     34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SAN ANDRES     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH