Tropical Storm ETA Advisory Fri Nov 06

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL292020
0900 UTC FRI NOV 06 2020

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ETA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)

JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)

THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)

ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   1(10)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   1(15)

PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   1(15)

FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   7(19)   2(21)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   9(27)   2(29)
W PALM BEACH   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
W PALM BEACH   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)  11(35)   2(37)
FT LAUDERDALE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
FT LAUDERDALE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   8(24)   2(26)
MIAMI FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   8(25)   2(27)
HOMESTEAD ARB  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
HOMESTEAD ARB  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)  11(37)   3(40)
MARATHON FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   4(13)   2(15)
MARATHON FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  18(20)  13(33)   4(37)
KEY WEST FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   2(12)
KEY WEST FL    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  15(32)   4(36)
NAPLES FL      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)
NAPLES FL      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  10(18)   3(21)
FT MYERS FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)

VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  15(24)   6(30)
VENICE FL      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)

TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   5(21)
TAMPA FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   4(13)

TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)

ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)

APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)

GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   6(14)

PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)

DESTIN EXEC AP 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

WHITING FLD FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   7(12)

BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

COZUMEL MX     34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

GUANAJA        34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)   5(23)   1(24)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   3(24)   1(25)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  21(25)   3(28)   1(29)
ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   X(10)

SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   4(11)

HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   7(19)   4(23)
HAVANA         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)
HAVANA         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

ISLE OF PINES  34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   8(15)   2(17)   2(19)   2(21)
ISLE OF PINES  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
ISLE OF PINES  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  11(28)   1(29)   X(29)
CIENFUEGOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
CIENFUEGOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)   X(13)   1(14)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   1( 1)  25(26)   8(34)   1(35)   X(35)   1(36)
GRAND CAYMAN   50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PENSACOLA NAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)

KEESLER AB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

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