Tropical Storm IOTA Advisory Sat Nov 14

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM IOTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL312020
0900 UTC SAT NOV 14 2020

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IOTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)

BELIZE CITY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   6(21)
BELIZE CITY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
BELIZE CITY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   9(25)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)  20(41)   8(49)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)   5(23)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   3(14)

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  35(39)  13(52)   2(54)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)   8(28)   1(29)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   1(15)

BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   7(15)   1(16)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)  15(24)   5(29)   1(30)
SAN ANDRES     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LIMON          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)

GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   2(11)   1(12)

MONTEGO BAY    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)

KINGSTON       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN