Tropical Storm JAVIER Advisory Tue Aug 09

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TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112016
0300 UTC TUE AUG 09 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JAVIER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

P ABREOJOS     34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  11(17)  11(28)   X(28)   X(28)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 24   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 80   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LA PAZ         34 14  33(47)   1(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
LA PAZ         50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LORETO         34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   4(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GUAYMAS        34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CULIACAN       34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECASTER STEWART