Tropical Storm LAN Advisory Sun Oct 15
WARNING ATCG MIL 25W NWP 171015131529
2017101512 25W TWENTYFIVE 001 02 300 06 SATL 020
T000 093N 1368E 025
T012 102N 1358E 040 R034 080 NE QD 065 SE QD 005 SW QD 030 NW QD
T024 109N 1343E 050 R050 040 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 130 SE QD 020 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 112N 1332E 060 R050 035 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 145 SE QD 040 SW QD 075 NW QD
T048 118N 1324E 075 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 160 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD
T072 137N 1317E 090 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 075 SE QD 075 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 175 SE QD 160 SW QD 130 NW QD
T096 165N 1318E 100 R064 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 105 NE QD 115 SE QD 110 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 175 NE QD 235 SE QD 200 SW QD 155 NW QD
T120 199N 1320E 110 R064 050 NE QD 065 SE QD 045 SW QD 065 NW QD R050 150 NE QD 160 SE QD 130 SW QD 130 NW QD R034 250 NE QD 335 SE QD 230 SW QD 215 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE) WARNING NR 001
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z --- NEAR 9.3N 136.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 9.3N 136.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z --- 10.2N 135.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
005 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z --- 10.9N 134.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z --- 11.2N 133.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z --- 11.8N 132.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z --- 13.7N 131.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
175 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 16.5N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
235 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 19.9N 132.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
335 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
215 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
151500Z POSITION NEAR 9.5N 136.5E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TWENTYFIVE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 78 NM
WEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 152100Z, 160300Z, 160900Z AND 161500Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
2517101218 83N1442E 15
2517101300 85N1435E 15
2517101306 87N1428E 15
2517101312 87N1417E 15
2517101318 87N1406E 15
2517101400 85N1397E 20
2517101406 83N1392E 20
2517101412 78N1387E 20
2517101418 79N1382E 20
2517101500 85N1379E 20
2517101506 90N1373E 20
2517101512 93N1368E 25
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