Tropical Storm KIRK Advisory Mon Sep 24

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIRK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122018
0300 UTC MON SEP 24 2018

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIRK WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 9.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   3( 9)

BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)

GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)

TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)

JUANGRIEGO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
FORECASTER ZELINSKY